Coherent modes of internal variability have been known for some time
to exist in low order and low resolution models of the stratosphere.
As with other dynamical systems, however, it has not been clear
whether such coherent modes are true modes of the system or merely a
result of excessive numerical truncation. Recent high resolution
modelling indicates that coherent modes of internal variability do
persist in stratosphere only models. Given the likely dynamical
coupling of the stratosphere and troposphere, a better understanding
of internal stratospheric variability is of potential importance to
medium range tropospheric weather forecasting.
On longer timescales the stratospheric circulation can have an
influence on details of the tropospheric climate. A better
understanding of seasonal and interannual variability of the
stratospheric polar vortex is therefore a subject of ongoing research.
Another area of importance to the thermal structure and chemical
composition is the theory of downward control and the wave driven mean
meridional circulation. Current high resolution modelling is
examining the sensitivity of this circulation to the underresolution
of potential vorticity gradients in current climate models.